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03/29/2009 - Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Marian Gaborik scored the game-winning goal and dished out an assist, as the Minnesota Wild edged the Edmonton Oilers, 3-2, in a battle between two playoff-hopeful teams at Rexall Place.
Andrew Brunette and Martin Skoula also lit the lamp for the Wild, who ended a four-game road trip with a 2-2-0 mark. Owen Nolan had two assists for the victors. Niklas Backstrom stopped 31 shots to improve to 34-23-7 on the year.
Center Mikko Koivu returned to the lineup after missing three games with a knee injury.
Minnesota sits in the 11th spot in the Western Conference with 80 points. The Wild are three points behind St. Louis for the eighth and final playoff spot.
Ales Kotalik and Fernando Pisani scored for the Oilers, who have dropped four of their past five outings. Dwayne Roloson turned aside 18 shots in the loss.
Since Anaheim beat Colorado on Sunday, Edmonton dropped to 10th in the West with 81 points.
Trailing 2-0, the Oilers cut the deficit in half on a goal from Pisani just 1:04 into the third stanza. Ethan Moreau charged down the right side of the ice and made his way behind the net before dumping the puck off to Pisani out front. Pisani chipped the disc between Backstrom's pads.
Gaborik lit the lamp just over three minutes later to extend Minnesota's margin back to two. Gaborik's wrister from the left circle beat Roloson glove- side during a delayed penalty.
Kotalik and Hemsky teamed up to cut the gap to 3-2 with 4:52 to play. Hemsky set Kotalik up for a one-timer from the left circle. And Kotalik's shot went sailing past Backstrom on the stick side.
The Oilers pulled Roloson with about one minute left to gain the extra attacker. But Backstrom and the Wild defense held strong to secure the victory.
The Wild drew first blood at the 7:01 mark of the first period on Brunette's 20th goal of the year. The puck was slowly sliding in front of Roloson after Gaborik fanned on a shot. Brunette collected the disc and fired a backhander past Roloson.
Less than two minutes later, Skoula's slap shot from the left point snuck through the five-hole of Roloson to give the visitors an early 2-0 lead.
Both teams had nine shots on goal during a scoreless second stanza.
Game Notes
Both teams went 0-for-3 on the power play...Minnesota had lost their previous four games in Edmonton...Minnesota won the season series with Edmonton, 4-2.
<< Hornets gain ground on Southwest Division-leading Spurs
New Orleans, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David West went 11-for-11 from the free
throw line as part of a 23-point effort, and the New Orleans Hornets made up
some ground in the Southwest Division with a 90-86 victory over the San
Antonio
<< Canucks blank Blackhawks to tighten West playoff race
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Daniel Sedin registered two goals and an
assist, and Roberto Luongo made 26 saves to notch his seventh shutout of the
season, as the Vancouver Canucks stymied the Chicago Blackhawks, 4-0, at
United
<< Purdue downs Rutgers, moves on
Oklahoma City, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lakisha Freeman netted 18 points and the
sixth-seeded Purdue Boilermakers defeated the seventh-seeded Rutgers Scarlet
Knights, 67-61, in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament's Oklahoma City
Regiona
<< Celtics silence the Thunder
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Glen Davis took an elbow to the head in the
third quarter that resulted in 10 stitches on his forehead, but the second-
year forward returned to score 15 of his 19 points in the final stanza to
ignite
Pair of Hockey East teams highlight 2009 Frozen Four >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Boston University and the University of
Vermont, both from Hockey East, highlight the final four schools in the NCAA
men's ice hockey tournament, set for April 9-11 at Verizon Center in
Washing
Williams sisters continue to cruise, Safina ousted in Miami >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sisters Serena and Venus Williams won their
matches in straight sets Sunday and advanced to the fourth round of the $4.5
million Sony Ericsson Open.
Top-ranked Serena topped China's Peng Shuai, the 32n
Suns' playoff hopes take a hit in loss to lowly Kings >>
Sacramento, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jason Thompson was one of seven Kings in
double figures, logging 21 points and eight rebounds as Sacramento dealt
Phoenix's playoff chances a crushing blow in a 126-118 decision over the Suns.
Spen
Oklahoma cruises past Pitt on way to Elite Eight >>
Oklahoma City, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Freshman Whitney Hand poured in a career-
high 22 points to power the top-seeded Oklahoma Sooners over the fourth-seeded
Pittsburgh Panthers, 70-59, in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament's
Oklahom
Now, it's okay to call the league hypocritical when it releases injury reports, which players have told me only helps bettors. And it's okay to mutter something obscene when the league pretends gambling doesn't help drive TV ratings and fan interest and put money in owners' pockets. But when it supports other forms of gaming? Big Deal. The Bears should put an orange "C" on every deck of cards dealt at Harrah's in Joliet; the Eagles should slap their logo on roulette wheels at the Borgata in Atlantic City; the Dolphins should hold training camp at the El San Juan in Puerto Rico.
Seriously.
The NFL's problem, when it comes to the gambling world, isn't hypocrisy, it's worse: The bosses lack vision. That's why the league is picking unwinnable fights in Delaware and taking pot shots from critics after making smart sponsorship deals. Roger Goodell and his gang are acting and thinking locally rather than globally, which is rare for them, especially compared to their professional (and amateur) counterparts.
The NBA held its All Star game in Las Vegas and David Stern's kingdom didn't crumble (although the town did bring plenty of players to their knees.) I'd say it's 6 to 5 and pick 'em that Lebron will make a road swing through Sin City before his career is over.
Even the NCAA College Football Betting is more progressive on this issue than the NFL. Several years ago Rachel Newman Baker, college sports' gambling czar, opened a dialogue with Vegas bookmakers to learn about how they do business. She's visited Nevada sports books, studied their operations and listened to how they regulate action. Now she knows she can expect a call from bookmakers, who lose money when sports are fixed, if they think something sketchy is going on in NCAA games. She's not in favor of sports betting, but, as she once told me, "I know it's not going away, either."
The NFL can't seem to accept that. And until it can find peace with the idea, it'll get flack, even when it's right.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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